000 WTNT21 KNHC 030246 TCMAT1 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE ONE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012022 0300 UTC FRI JUN 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * FLORIDA KEYS INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS * FLORIDA BAY * WEST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR.. * WEST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SOUTH OF THE MIDDLE OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ENGLEWOOD * EAST COAST OF FLORIDA SOUTH OF THE VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO CARD SOUND BRIDGE * LAKE OKEECHOBEE * CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...MAYABEQUE...HAVANA...ARTEMISA...PINAR DEL RIO...AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH * NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 87.4W AT 03/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 87.4W AT 03/0300Z AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 87.6W FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 22.5N 87.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 23.9N 85.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.6N 83.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...110NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 27.6N 80.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...130NE 130SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 29.9N 77.3W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...130NE 140SE 80SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 31.6N 74.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 34.2N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 35.9N 62.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 87.4W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 03/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z $$ FORECASTER LATTO/CANGIALOSI