000
WTNT21 KNHC 190835
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM PETER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162021
0900 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND
PUERTO RICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  53.5W AT 19/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  53.5W AT 19/0900Z
AT 19/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  52.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.8N  55.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.8N  60.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 21.7N  62.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 22.7N  63.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 23.7N  64.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 25.8N  65.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0600Z 27.7N  65.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  53.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART