000
WTNT21 KNHC 190230
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162021
0300 UTC SUN SEP 19 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  53.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  53.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  52.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 17.3N  54.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.4N  59.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 20.3N  61.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  50SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 21.3N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 22.3N  65.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 24.4N  66.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 26.3N  66.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  53.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI