000
WTNT21 KNHC 142037
TCMAT1
 
REMNANTS OF FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062021
2100 UTC SAT AUG 14 2021
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM
MISSISSIPPI TO THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE REMNANTS OF FRED.  WATCHES AND WARNINGS COULD BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.
 
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  84.6W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  84.6W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  84.1W...DISTURBANCE
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 25.0N  85.7W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 26.6N  87.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 28.0N  87.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 29.4N  88.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 30.9N  88.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.4N  88.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 36.0N  87.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  84.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN