000
WTNT21 KNHC 140233
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112020
0300 UTC FRI AUG 14 2020
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  52.2W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N  52.2W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 15.8N  54.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.3N  56.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 18.8N  59.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.0N  62.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 21.3N  64.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 22.8N  66.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 26.0N  67.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 29.5N  66.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N  52.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS