000 WTNT21 KNHC 261442 TCMAT1 SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012018 1500 UTC SAT MAY 26 2018 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM BOCA GRANDE TO ANCLOTE RIVER. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO THE AUCILLA RIVER. THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO CRYSTAL RIVER FLORIDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CRYSTAL RIVER TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO * DRY TORTUGAS A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BOCA GRANDE TO ANCLOTE RIVER * AUCILLA RIVER TO GRAND ISLE * LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE UNITED STATES PORTION OF THAT WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 84.9W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N 84.9W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 85.0W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 23.8N 84.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 26.0N 85.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 27.4N 86.0W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...110NE 120SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 28.7N 86.6W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 31.6N 87.7W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 120SE 30SW 30NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 35.6N 88.2W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 39.0N 85.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N 84.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN