000
WTNT21 KNHC 031430
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
1500 UTC THU OCT 03 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  40.2W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N  40.2W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.7N  40.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.9N  38.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.9N  35.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 33.9N  33.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 35.2N  31.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 38.5N  27.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N  40.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH