000
WTNT21 KNHC 021431
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
1500 UTC WED OCT 02 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  43.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  43.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.2N  43.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 29.1N  43.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 30.3N  41.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 31.4N  39.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 32.4N  37.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 34.7N  31.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 37.5N  26.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.2N  43.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH