000
WTNT21 KNHC 010242
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
0300 UTC TUE OCT 01 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  43.8W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  43.8W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  44.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 27.2N  44.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 27.1N  44.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 27.3N  45.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 27.9N  46.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 29.0N  47.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 30.5N  45.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 33.0N  41.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.4N  43.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI