000
WTNT21 KNHC 301431
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112013
1500 UTC MON SEP 30 2013
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  45.7W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  45.7W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  46.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.6N  45.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.3N  45.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 26.2N  46.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 26.3N  47.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 27.3N  49.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 28.5N  49.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 30.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.0N  45.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH