000
WTNT21 KNHC 120248
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM PATTY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162012
0300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  72.5W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  72.5W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  72.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 25.8N  72.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 25.7N  72.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 25.5N  72.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 25.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 24.0N  77.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 23.0N  81.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  72.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART