000
WTNT21 KNHC 050248
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062012
0300 UTC SUN AUG 05 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  33.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  33.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  32.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N  34.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 17.0N  37.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.5N  39.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.1N  42.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  20SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.3N  49.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.9N  55.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 23.5N  60.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  33.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN