000
WTNT21 KNHC 042031
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062012
2100 UTC SAT AUG 04 2012
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  31.7W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  31.7W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N  31.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 16.2N  35.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.6N  38.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.1N  41.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 18.5N  47.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 20.5N  54.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 23.0N  59.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N  31.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE