000
WTNT21 KNHC 021444
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  60.9W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  15 DEGREES AT  27 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT.......160NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 300SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N  60.9W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N  61.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.4N  59.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.4N  53.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 120SE 100SW   0NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 200SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.6N  43.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 240SE 240SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N  60.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN