000
WTNT21 KNHC 012032
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC SAT OCT 01 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  62.6W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  23 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT.......150NE 160SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.6N  62.6W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.4N  62.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 35.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N  60.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...210NE 210SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 45.0N  56.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...210NE 240SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.0N  48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...220NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 50.0N  31.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...220NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.6N  62.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA