000
WTNT21 KNHC 302042
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  63.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N  63.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  62.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 26.5N  63.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 29.8N  62.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 34.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 39.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 48.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N  63.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA