000
WTNT21 KNHC 301431
TCMAT1
 
HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  32
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  62.8W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  62.8W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N  62.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.2N  63.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...165NE 165SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.1N  62.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.0N  60.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE  90SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N  62.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA