000
WTNT21 KNHC 291445
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  61.8W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......150NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.9N  61.8W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  61.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.1N  62.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 29.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 38.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 50.0N  52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 55.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.9N  61.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA