000
WTNT21 KNHC 290247
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  60.7W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE   0SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  60.7W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N  60.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.3N  61.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.9N  62.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT...120NE 105SE  45SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.7N  62.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE  55SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.1N  63.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.5N  62.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 43.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 54.0N  47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE