000
WTNT21 KNHC 280250
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 28 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N  59.5W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  59.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N  59.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N  60.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N  60.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N  61.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N  62.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 32.0N  61.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N  59.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE