000
WTNT21 KNHC 272034
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.5W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.5W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N  60.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 18.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N  61.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N  63.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.5N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 37.5N  59.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N  60.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH