000
WTNT21 KNHC 250237
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  58.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  58.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.9N  59.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.8N  61.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.6N  62.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.3N  63.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 24.5N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  58.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG