000
WTNT21 KNHC 242040
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  57.4W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N  57.4W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  57.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N  58.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.6N  60.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 20.5N  61.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.4N  62.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 23.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE  90SE   0SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 24.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 27.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N  57.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART