000
WTNT21 KNHC 240253
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC SAT SEP 24 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  54.5W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  60SE  90SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  54.5W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  54.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.9N  56.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.2N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.4N  59.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 20.3N  61.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 22.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 24.0N  64.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 26.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  54.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG