000
WTNT21 KNHC 232055
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  53.8W AT 23/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 100SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  53.8W AT 23/2100Z
AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  53.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.3N  55.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.6N  60.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.7N  61.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 21.8N  64.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 24.0N  66.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 26.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  53.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART