000
WTNT21 KNHC 231454
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  52.6W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......225NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  52.6W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N  52.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.6N  54.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...225NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N  56.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.9N  58.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.1N  60.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 21.2N  64.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 23.0N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 25.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N  52.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART