000
WTNT21 KNHC 222032
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
2100 UTC THU SEP 22 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 100SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N  48.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.5N  50.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.7N  53.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  50SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.1N  55.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE   0SE   0SW  75NW.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.5N  57.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 21.5N  61.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 23.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 25.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N  48.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH