000
WTNT21 KNHC 211435
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
1500 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  43.6W AT 21/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 120SE   0SW 180NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  43.6W AT 21/1500Z
AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N  42.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.3N  45.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 13.5N  48.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.0N  50.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.7N  53.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 120SE  30SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N  57.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...180NE 100SE  30SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N  43.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH