000
WTNT21 KNHC 210242
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162011
0300 UTC WED SEP 21 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  40.1W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......150NE   0SE   0SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  40.1W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.0N  39.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.4N  42.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 12.7N  44.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 12.9N  47.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.2N  50.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 17.0N  60.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 19.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  40.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN