000
WTNT21 KNHC 051444
TCMAT1
HURRICANE IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
1500 UTC THU NOV 05 2009
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO PUERTO CABEZAS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 
AT 10 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF NICARAGUA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM SOUTH OF BLUEFIELDS TO
THE NICARAGUA/COSTA RICA BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA FROM NORTH OF PUERTO CABEZAS TO THE
HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.  A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN HONDURAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IDA.
  
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  83.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  83.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  83.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.6N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  15SW  15NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N  84.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.0N  84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.0N  84.5W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.4N  85.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 21.0N  86.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 23.5N  87.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N  83.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE