000
WTNT21 KNHC 050231
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM IDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112009
0300 UTC THU NOV 05 2009
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NICARAGUA
FROM BLUEFIELDS NORTHWARD TO THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EASTERN
COAST OF NICARAGUA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
AT 10 PM EST...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF COLOMBIA HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF SAN
ANDRES AND PROVIDENCIA. 
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  83.1W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  83.1W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N  82.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 12.9N  83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.5N  84.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 14.3N  84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.1N  84.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.0N  85.0W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N  85.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  83.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS