000
WTNT21 KNHC 030835
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ERIKA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL062009
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2009
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...
GUADELOUPE...ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMY... ANTIGUA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...ANGUILLA...ST.
MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO...THE U.S.
AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ERIKA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.7W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N  62.7W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  62.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.1N  64.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...200NE 150SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 17.9N  65.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N  67.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.5N  68.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N  70.8W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 22.5N  73.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N  62.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH