000
WTPZ45 KNHC 040851
TCDEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102010
200 AM PDT SAT SEP 04 2010
 
EASTERLY SHEAR HAS TAKEN A TOLL ON THE DEPRESSION.  NIGHTTIME
VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE CYCLONE
MORE THAN TWO DEGREES REMOVED FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. WITH
THE DEPRESSION ENCOUNTERING MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR...A STABLE AIR
MASS...AND COOLER WATERS...A GRADUAL SPIN-DOWN OF THE VORTEX IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  THE INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATE IS 305/7...SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE.  NOW
A SHALLOW SYSTEM...THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE STEERED BY THE LOW-
LEVEL FLOW RESULTING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION UNTIL
DISSIPATION. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      04/0900Z 21.5N 111.3W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12HR VT     04/1800Z 22.1N 112.6W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24HR VT     05/0600Z 22.6N 114.4W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36HR VT     05/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN