000
WTPZ45 KNHC 281436
TCDEP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052010
800 AM PDT MON JUN 28 2010
 
THE FIRST VISIBLE IMAGES OF THE DAY SHOW THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER
OF DARBY HAS BECOME EXPOSED WELL TO THE EAST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. 
BASED ON THE DECREASE IN ORGANIZATION...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 30 KT FOR THIS PACKAGE...AND DARBY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.
 
DARBY IS NOW BEING STEERED BY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS EASTWARD...
090...AT 8 KT. A GENERAL EASTWARD OR EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION
SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES IN THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      28/1500Z 14.1N  99.6W    30 KT
 12HR VT     29/0000Z 14.4N  98.7W    25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24HR VT     29/1200Z 14.8N  97.2W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36HR VT     30/0000Z 15.2N  96.0W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48HR VT     30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN