000
WTPZ44 KNHC 070836
TCDEP4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
200 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013

DALILA LOST ALL OF ITS DEEP CONVECTION SEVERAL HOURS AGO. ALTHOUGH A
SMALL PATCH OF SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS REDEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHWEST OF
THE CENTER...THIS CERTAINLY DOES NOT MEET THE ORGANIZED CONVECTION
REQUIREMENT FOR A TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN FACT...DALILA HAS NOT
PRODUCED SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR SOME TIME. THEREFORE...DALILA
IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS A REMNANT LOW...AND THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY
ISSUED ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. THE INITIAL
WIND SPEED IS HELD AT 25 KT...IN AGREEMENT WITH AN ASCAT PASS FROM
AROUND 0430 UTC. 

THE REMNANT LOW IS DRIFTING SOUTHEASTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO TURN
EASTWARD LATER TODAY...AND THEN NORTHWARD ON MONDAY AS IT GETS
DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION OF ERICK. DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED IN A
COUPLE OF DAYS...IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH 
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER 
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  07/0900Z 16.8N 113.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  07/1800Z 16.8N 112.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  08/0600Z 17.1N 112.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  08/1800Z 18.0N 112.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  09/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI