000
WTPZ44 KNHC 242042
TCDEP4
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042011
200 PM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011
 
A NOAA AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING DORA ON A RESEARCH MISSION FOUND THAT
THE CYCLONE HAS SPUN DOWN TO AN INTENSITY OF AROUND 25 KT. 
ALTHOUGH A SMALL PATCH OF DIMINISHING SHOWERS HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN
THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION...THE SYSTEM LACKS
SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CONSIDERED AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.  THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DORA.
 
THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...
AND THE CURRENT MOTION IS NEAR 325/6.  THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE
STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE WEST OF A WEAK MID- TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE
OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES.  THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN...THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/2100Z 23.9N 114.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  25/0600Z 24.7N 115.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  25/1800Z 25.7N 115.6W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  26/0600Z 26.6N 116.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH