000
WTPZ44 KNHC 161434
TCDEP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOS DISCUSSION NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042009
800 AM PDT THU JUL 16 2009

CARLOS HAS A SMALL AND POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION BUT IS
STILL PRODUCING SOME DEEP CONVECTION.  THE SYSTEM IS ON THE VERGE OF
BECOMING A REMNANT LOW...AND WILL LIKELY BE DECLARED AS SUCH LATER
TODAY.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NEAR 270/14.  A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOLLOWING THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLIES UNTIL THE
SYSTEM DISSIPATES.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      16/1500Z  9.8N 135.0W    25 KT
 12HR VT     17/0000Z  9.8N 136.9W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     17/1200Z 10.0N 139.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     18/0000Z 10.0N 141.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     18/1200Z 10.0N 144.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     19/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH