000
WTPZ43 KNHC 060839
TCDEP3
 
Tropical Depression Hilda Discussion Number  27
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082021
200 AM PDT Fri Aug 06 2021
 
Hilda has been reduced to a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds 
overnight with no organized deep convection. There has not been any 
recent scatterometer data to aid determining Hilda's intensity, but 
a blend of recent subjective and objective Dvorak intensity 
estimates support keeping the initial intensity at 30 kt. If Hilda 
fails to redevelop organized deep convection soon, an unlikely 
prospect since sea-surface temperatures under the depression are now 
around 22 C, the cyclone should soon become a remnant low, possibly 
as early as later this morning.  Complete dissipation of the remnant 
low is expected by this weekend, well east of the Hawaiian Islands.
 
The tropical depression is currently moving west-northwest at 
300/10 kt. This heading is expected to continue until dissipation 
as the system moves along the southern periphery of a low-level 
ridge to its north. The latest NHC track forecast is largely an 
update from the previous one, though is a bit slower, following the 
tightly clustered track guidance.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  06/0900Z 22.6N 133.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  06/1800Z 23.0N 134.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  07/0600Z 23.6N 136.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  07/1800Z 24.1N 137.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  08/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Papin/Beven