000
WTPZ43 KNHC 212031
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082010
200 PM PDT SAT AUG 21 2010
 
THE DEPRESSION IS NOW A LOW-LEVEL CLOUD SWIRL NEARLY VOID OF DEEP
CONVECTION.  THE CYCLONE IS ABOUT TO CROSS THE 26C ISOTHERM...AND
THE COLD WATER COMBINED WITH 20 TO 25 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
WILL LIKELY REDUCE THE SYSTEM TO A REMNANT LOW IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS
OR SO.  THE CYCLONE IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE ENTIRELY WITHIN THE NEXT
36 TO 48 HOURS.  

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/06...A LITTLE SLOWER THAN
EARLIER.  THE DEPRESSION AND ITS REMNANT LOW SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST UNTIL DISSIPATION.  THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE.  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      21/2100Z 20.7N 111.9W    25 KT
 12HR VT     22/0600Z 20.8N 112.8W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24HR VT     22/1800Z 20.9N 113.8W    20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36HR VT     23/0600Z 20.8N 114.6W    20 KT...DISSIPATING
 48HR VT     23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN