000
WTPZ43 KNHC 280824
TCDEP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032008
200 AM PDT SAT JUN 28 2008
 
DEEP CONVECTION HAS INCREASED A LITTLE BUT THE OVERALL ORGANIZATION
OF THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS NOT CHANGED. T-NUMBERS CONTINUE TO SHOW
THAT THE DEPRESSION IS VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. THE
CYCLONE ONLY HAS A DAY OR TWO TO STRENGTHEN BEFORE IT REACHES
INCREASINGLY COOLER WATERS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 3 DAYS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT
6 KNOTS. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE ANCHORED TO THE
NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. THEREFORE...A TURN MORE TO THE WEST IS
ANTICIPATED. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH GUIDANCE AND WITH THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      28/0900Z 14.3N 123.7W    30 KT
 12HR VT     28/1800Z 14.7N 124.8W    35 KT
 24HR VT     29/0600Z 15.0N 126.5W    35 KT
 36HR VT     29/1800Z 15.0N 128.0W    35 KT
 48HR VT     30/0600Z 15.0N 130.0W    30 KT
 72HR VT     01/0600Z 15.0N 134.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     02/0600Z 15.0N 138.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT     03/0600Z 15.0N 142.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA