000
WTPZ42 KNHC 050856
TCDEP2
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072013
200 AM PDT MON AUG 05 2013

LIMITED AND WEAK CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PULSE IN THE VICINITY OF AN
OBSCURRED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THE SYSTEM HAS BEGUN TO
INGEST STABLE TRADE WIND FLOW ON ITS NORTH SIDE...AND HAS BECOME
ADVERSELY AFFECTED BY SOUTHEASTERLY SHEAR FROM NEARBY TROPICAL
STORM HENRIETTE. THE SYSTEM HAS BEEN ASSESSED AT 25 KNOTS BASED ON
RECENT DVORAK INTENSITY TRENDS AND THE DEGRADED SATELLITE
PRESENTATION. IN ADDITION...SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE
MARGINAL...WHICH SHOULD HELP GIL TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
LATER TODAY.

THE MOTION ESTIMATE IS 260/06 KT. GIL HAS BEEN INFLUENCED BY THE
LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW AND THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
STORM HENRIETTE. THE SYSTEM SHOULD WEAKEN INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER
TODAY WHILE MOVING JUST SOUTH OF DUE WEST UNDER THE CONTINUED
INFLUENCE OF HENRIETTE AND THE TRADE WINDS.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  05/0900Z 13.9N 137.7W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  05/1800Z 13.5N 138.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  06/0600Z 13.1N 140.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  06/1800Z 12.8N 142.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  07/0600Z 12.6N 143.8W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  08/0600Z 12.7N 147.2W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  09/0600Z 12.7N 150.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  10/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART