000
WTPZ42 KNHC 302031
TCDEP2
 
REMNANTS OF BARBARA DISCUSSION NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022013
200 PM PDT THU MAY 30 2013

THREE SURFACE OBSERVING SITES NEAR COATZACOALCOS MEXICO HAVE BEEN
PERSISTENTLY REPORTING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST...YET
HIGH-RESOLUTION VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING A
WEAK CIRCULATION CENTERED TO THE EAST OF THESE SITES.  APPARENTLY
THE LATTER CIRCULATION IS EITHER NOT AT THE SURFACE OR IS EXTREMELY
WEAK AND ILL DEFINED.  SINCE BARBARA DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED
CENTER OF SURFACE CIRCULATION AND LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION...IT NO LONGER QUALIFIES AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND
ADVISORIES ARE BEING DISCONTINUED.  OUR OPERATIONAL ASSESSMENT IS
THAT BARBARA DID NOT MAKE IT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE.

ALTHOUGH THE CYCLONE HAS DISSIPATED...DISTURBED WEATHER ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF BARBARA IS LIKELY TO PERSIST OVER SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS...AND A HEIGHTENED RISK OF DANGEROUS FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES
WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS REGION.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  30/2100Z 18.5N  94.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH