000
WTPZ42 KNHC 291203
TCDEP2
 
TROPICAL STORM BARBARA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022013
500 AM PDT WED MAY 29 2013
 
RECENT RADAR DATA FROM PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO INDICATE THAT BARBARA HAS
BEEN TRYING TO FORM AN EYE...AND HAS APPARENTLY INTENSIFIED.  BASED
UPON THE CURRENT TRENDS...A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS WARRANTED TO
INCREASE THE INTENSITY FORECAST OF BARBARA TO INDICATE HURRICANE
STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  BASED ON RECENT CENTER FIXES...THERE
HAS BEEN A SLIGHT EASTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST
TRACK.  THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY IS ISSUED IN LIEU OF THE 1200 UTC
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  29/1200Z 15.2N  95.0W   55 KT  65 MPH
 12H  29/1800Z 15.7N  94.9W   65 KT  75 MPH
 24H  30/0600Z 17.0N  94.8W   45 KT  50 MPH...INLAND
 36H  30/1800Z 18.0N  94.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA