000
WTPZ41 KNHC 022037
TCDEP1
 
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KIKO DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112013
200 PM PDT MON SEP 02 2013
 
KIKO HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR MORE THAN 12
HOURS AS IT HAS CONTINUED TO INGEST DRIER AND MORE STABLE LOW-LEVEL
AIR AND HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER COOL WATERS THE PAST 6
HOURS. THEREFORE...THE CYCLONE IS BEING DESIGNATED AS A
POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. DESPITE THE LACK OF
CONVECTION...SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
IS STILL QUITE ROBUST...SO THE INITIAL INTENSITY WILL REMAIN AT 30
KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. NOW THAT KIKO HAS BECOME A SHALLOW VORTEX
EMBEDDED IN WEAK LOW-LEVEL STEERING FLOW...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE LITTLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT CONTINUES TO SPIN
DOWN OVER 24C SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES.
 
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  02/2100Z 22.9N 116.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  03/0600Z 22.9N 116.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  03/1800Z 22.8N 116.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  04/0600Z 22.7N 116.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART