000
WTPZ41 KNHC 161201
TCDEP1
 
HURRICANE PAUL SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162012
500 AM PDT TUE OCT 16 2012
 
THIS IS SPECIAL ADVISORY TO UPDATE THE TRACK FORECAST FOR
PAUL...WHICH IS MOVING FASTER AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. THIS MEANS THAT LANDFALL IS LIKELY TO OCCUR WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA AS EARLY AS THIS AFTERNOON. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT
LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  16/1200Z 22.9N 112.3W   95 KT 110 MPH
 12H  16/1800Z 25.8N 111.8W   85 KT 100 MPH...INLAND
 24H  17/0600Z 27.0N 113.0W   70 KT  80 MPH...INLAND
 36H  17/1800Z 27.5N 114.0W   55 KT  65 MPH...INLAND
 48H  18/0600Z 28.6N 115.1W   35 KT  40 MPH...OVER WATER
 72H  19/0600Z 31.0N 120.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/FRANKLIN