000
WTPZ41 KNHC 191451
TCDEP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
800 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008
 
DEEP CONVECTION IS GONE AND ELIDA HAS BEEN REDUCED TO A SWIRL OF LOW
CLOUDS AND CIRRUS DEBRIS.  THE SYSTEM IS OVER RATHER COOL WATERS
AND CONVECTION APPEARS UNLIKELY TO RESUME TODAY...SO ELIDA WILL
LIKELY BE DECLARED A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.

ELIDA CONTINUES MOVING GENERALLY WESTWARD OR 265/10.  LITTLE CHANGE
IN THE HEADING WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM SLIDES ALONG IN THE LOW-LEVEL TRADE WIND
FLOW.  IT IS UNCERTAIN JUST HOW LONG A CLOSED CIRCULATION WILL
LAST...BUT BASED ON THE MODEL GUIDANCE THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
CARRIES A REMNANT LOW THROUGH 72 HOURS.
 
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      19/1500Z 17.8N 132.1W    30 KT
 12HR VT     20/0000Z 17.7N 133.7W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     20/1200Z 17.4N 136.3W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     21/0000Z 16.9N 139.2W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     21/1200Z 16.6N 142.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     22/1200Z 16.5N 149.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 96HR VT     23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB