000
WTNT43 KNHC 222045
TCDAT3
 
TROPICAL STORM CINDY DISCUSSION NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032011
500 PM AST FRI JUL 22 2011

THE COLD SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF THE NORTH ATLANTIC ARE NOW
HAVING A NOTICEABLE EFFECT ON CINDY.  THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION HAS
WEAKENED...WITH THE REMAINING CONVECTION NOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
THE PARTLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER.  IN ADDITION...THE LOW CLOUDS
IN THE CIRCULATION ARE BECOMING STRATIFORM.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS DECREASED TO 40 KT BASED ON DECREASING AMSU INTENSITY ESTIMATES
AND DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM TAFB.  CINDY IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW IN THE NEXT 12-24 HOUR...AND THE
CIRCULATION SHOULD DISSIPATE COMPLETELY AFTER 24 HR.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 055/25...AND A RAPID MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION. 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  22/2100Z 46.9N  34.3W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  23/0600Z 49.5N  28.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  23/1800Z 53.5N  20.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN