000 WTNT42 KNHC 251815 TCDAT2 TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008 200 PM EDT MON AUG 25 2008 THIS IS A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO UPGRADE THE DEPRESSION TO TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WITH ESTIMATED WINDS OF 50 KT...AND TO CHANGE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING AND WATCH FOR HISPANIOLA. THE TRACK FORECAST IS UNCHANGED...HOWEVER THE INTENSITY FORECAST HAS BEEN MODIFIED TO ACCOUNT FOR THE HIGHER INITIAL INTENSITY. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/1800Z 15.8N 70.5W 50 KT 12HR VT 26/0000Z 16.5N 71.1W 60 KT 24HR VT 26/1200Z 17.6N 72.2W 65 KT 36HR VT 27/0000Z 18.8N 73.3W 65 KT 48HR VT 27/1200Z 19.7N 74.2W 70 KT 72HR VT 28/1200Z 21.0N 75.5W 55 KT 96HR VT 29/1200Z 22.0N 77.0W 60 KT 120HR VT 30/1200Z 22.5N 78.0W 60 KT $$ FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH