000 TCPZ24 KNHC 021545 STDEP4 SATELLITE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE RAINFALL ESTIMATES NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1545 UTC THU OCT 02 2014 SYSTEM NAME DATE/TIME LOCATION ----------- --------- -------- TROPICAL STORM SIMON [19E] 02/1200 UTC 18N 107W RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA QMORPH... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 170MM AT 17N 106W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 60MM AT 17N 106W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......110W-109W 109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 20N-21N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 20 0- 20 0- 30 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 0 0- 20 0- 0 0- 0 18N-19N 0- 10 0- 20 0- 20 0- 20 0- 10 0- 20 17N-18N 0- 10 0- 20 10- 30 10- 50 10- 40 0- 20 16N-17N 0- 10 0- 20 0- 50 0- 60 0- 20 0- 0 15N-16N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED BY SATELLITE VIA NRL-BLEND... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 140MM AT 17N 105W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 100MM AT 21N 104W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......110W-109W 109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 20N-21N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 20 0-100 19N-20N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 30 0- 10 18N-19N 0- 10 0- 30 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 17N-18N 0- 10 0- 20 0- 0 0- 30 0- 20 0- 20 16N-17N 0- 30 0- 70 0- 0 0- 20 0- 20 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 50 0- 80 ................................................................... RAINFALL ESTIMATED FROM 06 UTC 2 OCT GFS MODEL RUN... 24-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 12-12 UTC- 80MM AT 18N 104W 6-HR RAINFALL MAXIMUM FROM 06-12 UTC- 40MM AT 18N 106W RAINFALL DISTRIBUTION IN MM OVER THE LAST 6 HOURS FROM 06-12 UTC... LATITUDE............................LONGITUDE...................... .......110W-109W 109W-108W 108W-107W 107W-106W 106W-105W 105W-104W 20N-21N 0- 10 0- 0 10- 10 0- 10 0- 0 0- 0 19N-20N 0- 10 0- 0 10- 20 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 18N-19N 0- 0 0- 10 10- 20 10- 30 0- 20 0- 10 17N-18N 0- 0 0- 10 0- 10 20- 40 0- 30 10- 20 16N-17N 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 20- 30 0- 10 0- 10 15N-16N 0- 10 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 0 0- 10 ................................................................... DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE SATELLITE AND MODEL-DERIVED RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE UNCERTAINTY IN THE AMOUNT OF RAIN RECEIVED RAINFALL MAY BE UNDERESTIMATED ON THE WINDWARD SIDE OF TERRAIN PLEASE SEE THE LATEST TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY FOR THE OFFICIAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT HTTP://WWW.HURRICANES.GOV/MARINE/RAINFALL FORECASTER TAFB $$ NNNN