000 FOPZ15 KNHC 091432 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 1500 UTC MON OCT 09 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 2 17(19) 72(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X 1( 1) 55(56) 2(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) 33(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) MAZATLAN 34 X 6( 6) 23(29) 3(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) MAZATLAN 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN BLAS 34 X 8( 8) 74(82) 7(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) SAN BLAS 50 X X( X) 38(38) 15(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) SAN BLAS 64 X X( X) 13(13) 12(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) P VALLARTA 34 X 3( 3) 54(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) P VALLARTA 50 X X( X) 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 110W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 110W 34 57 34(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) X(91) 20N 110W 50 2 25(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 20N 110W 64 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 50 89 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) ISLA SOCORRO 64 30 3(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) ISLA CLARION 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI